Prediction Market News
Bitcoin $82.5K Odds Surge as Fed Hold and OpenAI Bets Rise
Polymarket traders pushed Bitcoin $82,500 odds to 82.5%, while September Fed hold odds rose to 58.5%.
Prediction Market News
Prediction markets put a price on what happens next. Every day, real money moves on elections, Fed decisions, oil thresholds, sports and celebrity bets, and those price swings tell you more than any pundit. Our team of prediction market analysts and traders with years in these markets decodes the raw data behind every swing, breaks down what triggered it, and flags where the value sits. Follow the odds, not the noise.
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Prediction Market News
GPT-6 Odds Surge as Fed Hold Rises and Musk Tweet Bets Fall
Polymarket traders pushed GPT-6 release odds to 86.5%, while Fed hold odds rose to 48.5%.
Prediction Market News
Fed Hike Odds Rise as Iran Blockade-End Bets Fall
Polymarket traders pushed September Fed hike odds to 60.5%, while Iran blockade-end odds fell to 4.5%.
Prediction Market News
Kalshi Loses Nevada Appeal as Ninth Circuit Rejects Sports Market Preemption Claim
SAN FRANCISCO – The Ninth Circuit upheld Nevada's ability to enforce state gambling laws against Kalshi's sports-related event contracts.
Prediction Market News
Fed Hike Odds Rise as CLARITY Act and New People Bets Gain
Polymarket traders pushed September Fed hike odds to 56.5%, while CLARITY Act passage reached 14.5%.
Prediction Market News
US Open Odds Swing as Tirante Crashes and Navarro Surges
Polymarket traders cut Tirante's US Open odds to 9% while pushing Navarro to 95.15%.
Prediction Market News
Bitcoin $82.5K Odds Rise as Iran Blockade and Lula Bets Fall
Polymarket traders pushed Bitcoin $82,500 odds to 42.3%, while Iran blockade-end odds fell to 69.2%.
Prediction Market News
Musk Tweet Odds Surge as Hormuz Recovery Bets Fall
Polymarket traders cut Hormuz normalization odds to 7.5%, while Musk's 160-179 post range jumped to 33.7%.
Prediction Market News
Cubs Odds Surge as Iran Blockade and Hormuz Bets Rise
Polymarket traders pushed the Cubs' win odds to 86.6%, while US Iran blockade-end odds rose to 40.5%.
Prediction Market News
Bitcoin $82.5K Odds Jump as CLARITY Act Slips and Iran Ceasefire Rises
Polymarket traders pushed Bitcoin $82,500 odds to 70.7%, while CLARITY Act passage odds fell to 18.5%.